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Trauma

RISK FACTORS FOR REVISION ACL RECONSTRUCTION: A MODEL FOR PREDICTING FAILURES

European Federation of National Associations of Orthopaedics and Traumatology (EFORT) - 12th Congress



Abstract

AIM

Failure of a primary anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction is associated with poor functional outcomes even after revision surgery. The aim of this study is to identify early predictors for failure, so that it may aid in recognition of at-risk patients.

METHOD

An observational study was conducted of 623 patients undergoing primary ACL reconstruction by a single surgeon over a 72 month period. Patient and procedure related parameters including age, gender, BMI, time to surgery, graft size, fixation methods, meniscal and chondral injuries, meniscal surgery, radiological parameters and post-operative IKDC scores. Logistic regression modeling was employed to identify those factors which were statistically significant for failure.

RESULTS

We identified 14 patients who experienced failure of their ACL graft. The causes for failure included trauma (9), infection (2), arthrofibrosis (1), biological (1) and recurrent instability (1). Univariate analysis established a significant relationship between age at time of injury (p<0.001), BMI (p=0.001), time to index procedure (p<0.001), screw length (p=0.04) and early post-operative IKDC score (p<0.001). Multivariate analysis demonstrated all factors stated except screw length to be important for predicting failure for ACL reconstruction.

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of graft failure is lower than has been those quoted in the literature. We have identified those patients who are at high risk of rupturing a reconstructed primary ACL graft. Careful monitoring and functional modification of high-risk patients may be indicated to prevent failure. This study identifies predictive factors of failed ACL reconstruction. Age at time of injury, BMI, time to surgery, post-operative IKDC scores were found to be associated with failure.