Aims

Identifying predictors of compartment syndrome in the foot after a fracture of the calcaneus may lead to earlier diagnosis and treatment. The aim of our study was to identify any such predictors.

Objectives

To investigate psychosocial and biomedical outcomes following total hip replacement (THR) and to identify predictors of recovery from THR.

We report the general mortality rate after total knee replacement and identify independent predictors of survival. We studied 2428 patients: there were 1127 men (46%) and 1301 (54%) women with a mean age of 69.3 years (28 to 94). Patients were allocated a predicted life expectancy based on their age and gender.

There were 223 deaths during the study period. This represented an overall survivorship of 99% (95% confidence interval (CI) 98 to 99) at one year, 90% (95% CI 89 to 92) at five years, and 84% (95% CI 82 to 86) at ten years. There was no difference in survival by gender. A greater mortality rate was associated with increasing age (p < 0.001), American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) grade (p < 0.001), smoking (p < 0.001), body mass index (BMI) <  20 kg/m² (p < 0.001) and rheumatoid arthritis (p < 0.001). Multivariate modelling confirmed the independent effect of age, ASA grade, BMI, and rheumatoid disease on mortality. Based on the predicted average mortality, 114 patients were predicted to have died, whereas 217 actually died. This resulted in an overall excess standardised mortality ratio of 1.90. Patient mortality after TKR is predicted by their demographics: these could be used to assign an individual mortality risk after surgery.

A prospective study was performed to develop a clinical prediction rule that incorporated demographic and clinical factors predictive of a fracture of the scaphoid. Of 260 consecutive patients with a clinically suspected or radiologically confirmed scaphoid fracture, 223 returned for evaluation two weeks after injury and formed the basis of our analysis. Patients were evaluated within 72 hours of injury and at approximately two and six weeks after injury using clinical assessment and standard radiographs. Demographic data and the results of seven specific tests in the clinical examination were recorded.

There were 116 (52%) men and their mean age was 33 years (13 to 95; sd 17.9). In 62 patients (28%) a scaphoid fracture was confirmed. A logistic regression model identified male gender (p = 0.002), sports injury (p = 0.004), anatomical snuff box pain on ulnar deviation of the wrist within 72 hours of injury (p < 0.001), and scaphoid tubercle tenderness at two weeks (p < 0.001) as independent predictors of fracture. All patients with no pain at the anatomical snuff box on ulnar deviation of the wrist within 72 hours of injury did not have a fracture (n = 72, 32%). With four independently significant factors positive, the risk of fracture was 91%.

Our study has demonstrated that clinical prediction rules have a considerable influence on the probability of a suspected scaphoid fracture. This will help improve the use of supplementary investigations where the diagnosis remains in doubt.

A prospective cohort of 222 patients who underwent revision hip replacement between April 2001 and March 2004 was evaluated to determine predictors of function, pain and activity level between one and two years post-operatively, and to define quality of life outcomes using validated patient reported outcome tools. Predictive models were developed and proportional odds regression analyses were performed to identify factors that predict quality of life outcomes at one and two years post-operatively. The dependent outcome variables were the Western Ontario and McMaster Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) function and pain scores, and University of California Los Angeles activity scores. The independent variables included patient demographics, operative factors, and objective quality of life parameters, including pre-operative WOMAC, and the Short Form-12 mental component score. There was a significant improvement (t-test, p < 0.001) in all patient quality of life scores. In the predictive model, factors predictive of improved function (original regression analyses, p < 0.05) included a higher pre-operative WOMAC function score (p < 0.001), age between 60 and 70 years (p < 0.037), male gender (p = 0.017), lower Charnley class (p < 0.001) and aseptic loosening being the indication for revision (p < 0.003). Using the WOMAC pain score as an outcome variable, factors predictive of improvement included the pre-operative WOMAC function score (p = 0.001), age between 60 and 70 years (p = 0.004), male gender (p = 0.005), lower Charnley class (p = 0.001) and no previous revision procedure (p = 0.023). The pre-operative WOMAC function score (p = 0.001), the indication for the operation (p = 0.007), and the operating surgeon (p = 0.008) were significant predictors of the activity assessment at follow-up. Predictors of quality of life outcomes after revision hip replacement were established. Although some patient-specific and surgery-specific variables were important, age, gender, Charnley class and pre-operative WOMAC function score had the most robust associations with outcome

Hip abductor tears(AT) have long been under-recognized, under-reported and under-treated. There is a paucity of data on the prevalence, morphology and associated factors. Patients with “rotator cuff tears of the hip” that are recognized and repaired during total hip arthroplasty(THA) report comparable outcomes to patients with intact abductor tendons at THA.

The study was a retrospective review of 997 primary THA done by a single surgeon from 2012–2022. Incidental findings of AT identified during the anterolateral approach to the hip were documented with patient name, gender, age and diagnosis. The extent and size of the tears of the Gluteus medius and Minimus were recorded. Xrays and MRI's were collected for the 140 patients who had AT and matched 1:1 with respect to age and gender against 140 patients that had documented good muscle quality and integrity. Radiographic measurements (Neck shaft angle, inter-teardrop distance, Pelvis width, trochanteric width and irregularities, bodyweight moment arm and abductor moment arm) were compared between the 2 groups in an effort to determine if any radiographic feature would predict AT.

The prevalence of AT were 14%. Females had statistically more tears than males(18vs10%), while patients over the age of 70y had statistically more tears overall(19,7vs10,4%), but also more Gluteus Medius tears specifically(13,9vs5,3%). Radiographic measurements did not statistically differ between the tear and control group, except for the presence of trochanteric irregularities. MRI's showed that 50% of AT were missed and subsequently identified during surgery.

Abductor tears are still underrecognized and undertreated during THA which can results in inferior outcomes. The surgeon should have an high index of suspicion in elderly females with trochanteric irregularities and although an MRI for every patient won't be feasible, one should always be prepared and equipped to repair the abductor tendons during THA.

Introduction: The aims of this study were to. determine predictors of pain, function and activity level 1–2 years after revision hip arthroplasty and. define quality of life outcomes after revision total hip replacement. Methods: A prospective cohort of 222 patients who underwent revision hip arthroplasty were evaluated. Predictive models were developed and proportional odds regression analyses were performed to identify factors that predict quality of life outcomes at 1 and 2 years post surgery. The dependent outcome variables were WOMAC function, pain and UCLA activity. The independent variables included patient demographic, surgery specific and objective parameters including baseline Western Ontario McMaster Universities (WOMAC) osteoarthritis index, and the Short Form-12 mental component. The Loess method was used to plot the change of WOMAC and SF-12 scores over time. Results: There was a significant improvement (p< 0.001) in all patient quality of life scores from baseline with results plateauing at 1 year. UCLA activity remained static between 1 and 2 years. In the predictive model, higher baseline WOMAC function (p < 0.001), age between 60–70 (p< 0.037), male gender (0.017), lower Charnley class (p < 0.001) and diagnosis of aseptic loosening (p < 0.003) were significant predictors of improved function. When considering WOMAC pain as an outcome variable, factors predictive of improving category outcome included baseline WOMAC function (p= 0.001), age between 60–70 (p< 0.004), male gender (p= 0.005), lower Charnley class (p< 0.001) and no previous revisions (p < 0.023). Baseline WOMAC pain did not predict final pain outcome. Baseline WOMAC function (p=0.001), the indication for the operation (p=0.007), and the operating surgeon were significant predictors of UCLA activity at follow up. Peri or post-operative complications were not an adverse predictor of physical function, pain or activity. Conclusions: Predictors of quality of life outcomes after revision hip replacement-showed that although some patient specific and surgical specific variables were important, age, gender, Charnley class and baseline WOMAC function had the most robust associations with outcomes

Lateral-entry wiring (LEW) for displaced supracondylar humeral fractures (SHFs) has been popularised internationally. BOAST guidance suggests either LEW or crossed wires; the latter has reported lower risk of loss of fracture reduction –we explore technical reasons why.

We reviewed 8 years of displaced SHFs in two regional centres. Injuries were grouped using the Gartland Classification, with posterolateral or posteromedial displacement assessment for Gartland 3 injuries. We identified any loss of fracture reduction, and reviewed intra-operative imaging to identify learning points that may contribute to early rotational displacement (ERD).

345 SHFs were included, between 2012 and 2020. Gartland 2 (n=117) injuries had a 3.42% risk. ERD. Gartland 3 crossed wirings (n=114) had a 6.14% risk of ERD, with those moving all being posterolaterally displaced. Gartland 3, posterolaterally displaced LEW (n=56) had a 35.7% risk of ERD. Gartland 3, posteromedially displaced LEW (n=58) had a 22.4% risk of ERD. All injuries with ERD except 3 had identifiable learning points, the commonest being non-divergence of wires, or wires not passing through both fracture fragments.

LEW requires divergent spread and bicolumnar fixation. Achieving a solid construct through this method appears more challenging than crossed wiring, with rates of ERD 3–5× higher. Low-volume surgeons should adhere to BOAST guidelines and choose a wiring construct that works best in their hands. They can also be reassured that should a loss of position occur, the risk of requirement for revision surgery is extremely low in our study (0.3%), and it is unlikely to affect long term outcomes.

Introduction

Surgical reconstruction of deformed Charcot feet carries high risk of non-union, metalwork failure and deformity recurrence. The primary aim of this study was to identify the factors contributing to these complications following hindfoot Charcot reconstructions.

The aim of the study was to evaluate radiological and clinical outcomes of surgical treatment of developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH) with Periacetabular Osteotomy (PAO) and to determine the values of radiological parameters allowing us to obtain an optimal clinical result.

Radiological evaluation included a standardized AP digital radiograph of the hip joints. Centre edge angle (CEA), medialization, distalization, femoral head coverage (FHC) and ilioischial angle were measured. Clinical evaluation based on HHS, WOMAC, Merle d'Aubigne-Postel scales and Hip Lag Sign. Radiological and clinical evaluation was performed preoperatively and approximately 12 months after the surgery.

Statistically significant (p<0.05) differences in radiological measurements and all clinical scales have been observed pre- and postoperatively for all of the parameters. The results of PAO presented decreased medialization by 3.4mm (range: 3 to 3.7), distalization by 3.5mm (range: 3.2 to 3.8) and the ilioischial angle by 2.7° (range: 2.2 to 3.7). There was also an improvement in the femoral head bone coverage: CEA increased by 16.3° (range: 12.1˚ to 20.5˚) and FHC by 15.2% (range: 10.8 to 19.8). Clinically we observed an increase in HHS by 22 points (range: 15.8 to 28.2) and M. Postel d'Aubigne by 3.5 points (range: 2.0 to 4.4) and a decrease in WOMAC by 24% (range: 22.6 to 25.8). HLS improvement of gluteal muscles’ efficiency has been observed in 67% of patients postoperatively.

This study revealed that the qualification of patients with DDH for an elective PAO is more justified due to the predicted optimal clinical outcomes based on three parameters: CEA <25 degrees, FHC <75%, and ilioischial angle >85.9 degrees. Accordingly, to achieve better clinical results for all scales, it is necessary to increase the average CEA value by 11˚, the average FHC by 11%, and reduce the average ilioischial angle by 3˚.

Use of anticoagulants for thromboembolic prophylaxis is strongly supported by evidence. However, the use of these medications beyond the prophylactic period is poorly understood.

We identified anticoagulant naïve patients that underwent hip or knee replacement between 2012 and 2019 from an arthroplasty registry and probabilistically linked 3,018 surgeries with nationwide pharmaceutical claims data. Rates of anticoagulation use were examined during the early (<= 60 days post-discharge), mid-term (61–180 days post-discharge) and long-term (181–360 days post-discharge) periods. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to identify patient- and surgery-related factors associated with long-term anticoagulant use.

Anticoagulants were supplied to 20% of arthroplasties within 60 days of discharge, 7% between 61–180 days, and 10% between 181–360 days. Older age, obesity, increased comorbidity burden, a longer length of stay, occurrence of a complication necessitating anticoagulation and dispensation of an anticoagulant within 60 days of discharge were all risk factors for long-term anticoagulant use.

Given the risks associated with unnecessary use of these medications, certain patients who are prescribed anticoagulants beyond prophylactic period may benefit from specialist medication review in the months following surgery.

Signal intensity changes of the spinal cord on MRI in chronic cervical myelopathy are thought to be indicative of the prognosis. However, the prognostic significance of signal intensity change remains controversial. The purpose of this study was to investigate the characteristics of MR findings in cervical compression myelopathy that reflect the clinical symptoms and the prognosis and to determine the radiographical and clinical factors that correlate to the prognosis. The subjects were 73 patients who underwent cervical expansive laminoplasty. Their mean age was 64 years, and the mean postoperative follow-up was 3.4 years. The pathological conditions were cervical spondylotic myelopathy in 42 and ossification of the posterior longitudinal ligament in 31.MRI (spin-echo sequence) was performed in all patients. Three patterns of spinal cord signal intensity changes on T1-weighted sequences/T2-weighted sequences were detected as follows: normal/ normal. (N/N); normal/ high signal intensity changes (N/Hi); and low signal intensity changes/high signal intensity changes (Lo/Hi). Surgical outcomes were compared among these three groups. The most useful combination of parameters for predicting prognosis was determined. There were 2 patients with N/N, 67 with N/Hi and 4 with Lo/Hi signal change patterns before surgery. Regarding postoperative recovery, the preoperative Lo/Hi group was significantly inferior to the preoperative N/Hi group. The best combination of predictors for surgical outcomes included age, preoperative signal pattern and duration of symptoms. The low signal intensity changes on T1-weighted sequences indicated a poor prognosis. We speculate that high signal intensity changes on T2-weighted images include a broad spectrum of compressive myelomalacid pathologies and reflect a broad spectrum of recuperative potentials of the spinal cord. Predictors for surgical outcomes are preoperative signal intensity change pattern of the spinal cord on radiological evaluations, age at the time of surgery and chronicity of the disease

Minimally displaced paediatric proximal humerus fractures (PHFs) can be reliably managed non-operatively, however there is considerable debate regarding the appropriate management of severely displaced PHFs, particularly in older children and adolescents with limited remodelling potential. The purpose of this study was to perform a systematic review to answer the questions: “What are the functional and quality-of-life outcomes of paediatric PHFs?” and “What factors have been associated with a poorer outcome?”

A review of Medline and EMBASE was performed on 4^th July 2021 using search terms relevant to PHFs, surgery, non-operative management, paediatrics and outcomes. Studies including ≥10 paediatric patients with PHFs, which assessed clinical outcomes by use of an established outcome measure, were selected. The following clinical information was collected: participant characteristics, treatment, complications, and outcomes.

Twelve articles were selected, including four prospective cohort studies and eight retrospective cohort studies. Favourable outcome scores were found for patients with minimally displaced fractures, and for children aged less than ten years, irrespective of treatment methodology or grade of fracture displacement. Older age at injury and higher grade of fracture displacement were reported as risk factors for a poorer patient-reported outcome score.

An excellent functional outcome can be expected following non-operative management for minimally displaced paediatric PHFs. Prospective trials are required to establish a guideline for the management of severely displaced PHFs in children and adolescents according to fracture displacement and the degree of skeletal maturity.

This study aimed to evaluate the month-to-month prevalence of antibiotic dispensation in the 12 months before and after total knee arthroplasty (TKA) and total hip arthroplasty (THA) and to identify factors associated with antibiotic dispensation in the month immediately following the surgical procedure.

In total, 4,115 THAs and TKAs performed between April 2013 and June 2019 from a state-wide arthroplasty referral centre were analysed. A cross-sectional study used data from an institutional arthroplasty registry, which was linked probabilistically to administrative dispensing data from the Australian Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme. Multivariable logistic regression was carried out to identify patient and surgical risk factors for oral antibiotic dispensation.

Oral antibiotics were dispensed in 18.3% of patients following primary TKA and 12.0% of patients following THA in the 30 days following discharge. During the year after discharge, 66.7% of TKA patients and 58.2% of THA patients were dispensed an antibiotic at some point. Patients with poor preoperative health status were more likely to have antibiotics dispensed in the month following THA or TKA. Older age, undergoing TKA rather than THA, obesity, inflammatory arthritis, and experiencing an in-hospital wound-related or other infectious complications were associated with increased antibiotic dispensation in the 30 days following discharge.

A high rate of antibiotic dispensation in the 30 days following THA and TKA has been observed. Although resource constraints may limit routine wound review for all patients by a surgeon, a select cohort may benefit from timely specialist review postoperatively. Several risk factors identified in this study may aid in identifying appropriate candidates for such changes to follow-up care.

Introduction: Dural tears are one of the most frequent type of complication in posterior spinal fusion with little known about their predictors. Method: Prospective consecutive study with an evidence level 2++ of 42 patients in the international spine registry Spine Tango, who had been treated between 05/2005 and 8/2008 with posterior spinal fusion after opening of the spinal canal. Median age was 62.7 yrs (min 12.5, max 90.5 yrs) with a female to male ratio of 2:1. In 42 of 1575 cases a dural tear occurred being the most frequent type of complication in our study sample. Multiple linear regression was performed on potential predictor-variables of the occurrence of dural tears. Results: Hospital (p=0.02) and number of segments of fusion (p=0.018) were found to be predictors of the occurrence of dural tears in posterior spinal fusion. Number of fusions per hospital (min 25, max 526) and academic status of hospital had no influence on the rate of dural tears. Fusions of four and more segments showed an increase of the rate of dural tears by three compared to fusions of less than four segments. Conclusion: Predictors of dural tears in posterior spinal fusion are hospital, independent of number of spinal surgeries and academic status of hospital, and number of segments of fusion. In fusions of four and more segments a threefold higher risk of dural tears in comparison to fusions of less than four segments should be taken into consideration

Aims

Surgical reconstruction of deformed Charcot feet carries a high risk of nonunion, metalwork failure, and deformity recurrence. The primary aim of this study was to identify the factors contributing to these complications following hindfoot Charcot reconstructions.

Introduction

A recent study to identify clinically meaningful benchmarks for gait improvement after total hip replacement (THA) has shown that the minimum clinically important improvement (MCII) in gait speed after THA is 0.32 m/sec. Currently, it remains to be investigated what preoperative factors link to suboptimal recovery of gait function after THA. This study aimed to identify preoperative lower-limb muscle predictors for gait speed improvement after THA for hip osteoarthritis.

It is undetermined which factors predict return to work following arthroscopic rotator cuff repair. We aimed to identify which factors predicted return to work at any level, and return to pre-injury levels of work 6 months post-arthroscopic rotator cuff repair.

Multiple logistic regression analysis of prospectively collected demographic, pre-injury, preoperative, and intraoperative data from 1502 consecutive primary arthroscopic rotator cuff repairs, performed by a single surgeon, was performed to identify independent predictors of return to work, and return to pre-injury levels of work respectively, 6 months post-surgery.

Six months post-rotator cuff repair, 76% of patients returned to work (RTW), and 40% returned to pre-injury levels of work (Full-RTW). RTW at 6 months was likely if patients were still working after their injuries, but prior to surgery (Wald statistic [W]=55, p<0.0001), were stronger in internal rotation preoperatively (W=8, p=0.004), had full-thickness tears (W=9, p=0.002), and were female (W=5, p=0.030). Patients who achieved Full-RTW were likely to have worked less strenuously pre-injury (W=173, p<0.0001), worked more strenuously post-injury but pre-surgery (W=22, p<0.0001), had greater behind-the-back lift-off strength preoperatively (W=8, p=0.004), and had less passive external rotation range of motion preoperatively (W=5, p=0.034). Patients who were still working post-injury, but pre-surgery were 1.6-times more likely to RTW than patients who were not (p<0.0001). Patients who nominated their pre-injury level of work as “light” were 11-times more likely to achieve Full-RTW than those who nominated “strenuous” (p<0.0001).

Six months post-rotator cuff repair, a higher patient-rated post-injury, but pre-surgery level of work was the strongest predictor of RTW. A lower patient-rated pre-injury level of work was the strongest predictor of Full-RTW. Greater preoperative subscapularis strength independently predicted both RTW, and Full-RTW.

Background

Guidelines recommend epidural steroid injections (ESI) for treating severe disc-related sciatica based on trial data showing modest reductions in leg pain, disability and surgery avoidance. Despite their widespread use, there is no clear evidence about which patients are more likely to benefit from ESI. The aim of this study was to generate consensus on potential predictors of outcome following ESI for disc-related sciatica to include in data collection in a future cohort study.

Same day home (SDH) discharge in total joint arthroplasty (TJA) has increased in popularity in recent years. The objective of this study was to evaluate the causes and predictors of failed discharges in planned SDH patients.

A consecutive cohort of patients who underwent total knee (TKA) or total hip arthroplasty (THA) that were scheduled for SDH discharge between April 1, 2019 to March 31, 2021 were retrospectively reviewed. Patient demographics, causes of failed discharge, perioperative variables, 30-day readmissions and 6-month reoperation rates were collected. Multivariate regression analysis was undertaken to identify independent predictors of failed discharge.

The cohort consisted of 527 consecutive patients. One hundred and one (19%) patients failed SDH discharge. The leading causes were postoperative hypotension (20%) and patients who were ineligible for the SDH pathway (19%). Two individual surgeons, later operative start time (OR 1.3, 95% CI, 1.15-1.55, p=0.001), ASA class IV (OR 3.4, 95% CI, 1.4-8.2; p=0.006) and undergoing a THA (OR 2.0, 95% CI, 1.2-3.1, p=0.004) were independent predictors of failed SDH discharge. No differences in age, BMI, gender, surgical approach or type of anesthetic were found (p>0.05). The 30-day readmission or 6-month reoperation were similar between groups (p>0.05).

Hypotension and inappropriate patient selection were the leading causes of failed SDH discharge. Significant variability existed between individual surgeons failed discharge rates. Patients undergoing a THA, classified as ASA IV or had a later operative start time were all more likely to fail SDH discharge.