Mirels’ score predicts the likelihood of sustaining pathological fractures using pain, lesion site, size and morphology. The aim is to investigate its reproducibility, reliability and accuracy in upper limb bony metastases and validate its use in pathological fracture prediction. A retrospective cohort study of patients with upper limb metastases, referred to an Orthopaedic Trauma Centre (2013–18). Mirels’ was calculated in 32 patients; plain radiographs at presentation scored by 6 raters. Radiological aspects were scored twice by each rater, 2-weeks apart. Inter- and intra-observer reliability were calculated (Fleiss’ kappa test). Bland-Altman plots compared variances of individual score components &total Mirels’ score. Mirels’ score of ≥9 did not accurately predict lesions that would fracture (11% 5/46 vs 65.2% Mirels’ score ≤8, p<0.0001). Sensitivity was 14.3% &specificity was 72.7%. When Mirels’ cut-off was lowered to ≥7, patients were more likely to fracture (48% 22/46 versus 28% 13/46, p=0.045). Sensitivity rose to 62.9%, specificity fell to 54.6%. Kappa values for interobserver variability were 0.358 (fair, 0.288–0.429) for lesion size, 0.107 (poor, 0.02–0.193) for radiological appearance and 0.274 (fair, 0.229–0.318) for total Mirels’ score. Values for intraobserver variability were 0.716 (good, 95% CI 0.432–0.999) for lesion size, 0.427 (moderate, 95% CI 0.195–0.768) for radiological appearance and 0.580 (moderate, 0.395–0.765) for total Mirels’ score. We showed moderate to substantial agreement between &within raters using Mirels’ score on upper limb radiographs. Mirels’ has poor sensitivity &specificity predicting upper limb fractures - we recommend the cut-off score for prophylactic surgery should be lower than for lower limb lesions

Aims. Treatment guidelines for atypical femoral fractures associated with bisphosphonates have not been established. We conducted a systematic review of the treatment of atypical femoral fractures first, to evaluate the outcomes of surgical fixation of complete atypical fractures and secondly, to assess whether prophylactic surgery is necessary for incomplete atypical fractures. Materials and Methods. Case reports and series were identified from the PubMed database and were included if they described the treatment of atypical femoral fractures. In total, 77 publications met our inclusion criteria and 733 patients with 834 atypical complete or incomplete femoral fractures were identified. Results. For complete fractures, internal fixation was predominantly achieved by intramedullary nailing. The mean time to healing post-operatively was 7.3 months (2 to 31). Revision surgery for nonunion or implant failure was needed in 77 fractures (12.6%). A greater percentage of fractures treated with plate fixation (31.3%) required revision surgery than those treated with intramedullary nailing (12.9%) (p < 0.01). Non-operative treatment of incomplete fractures failed and surgery was eventually needed in nearly half of the patients (47%), whereas prophylactic surgery was successful and achieved a 97% rate of healing. Conclusion. Intramedullary nailing is the first-line treatment for a complete fracture, although the risk of delayed healing and revision surgery seems to be higher than with a typical femoral fracture. Non-operative treatment does not appear to be a reliable way of treating an incomplete fracture: prophylactic intramedullary nailing should be considered if the patient is in intractable pain. Radiographs of the opposite side should be obtained routinely looking for an asymptomatic fracture. Bisphosphonates must be discontinued but ongoing metabolic management in the form of calcium and/or vitamin D supplements is advisable. Teriparatide therapy can be considered as an alternative treatment. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2017;99-B:295–302

We evaluated the use of surgical stabilisation for atlantoaxial subluxation after a follow-up of 24 years in 50 rheumatoid patients who had some degree of pain but no major neurological deficit.

The mortality of patients treated by atlantoaxial fusion was significantly lower than for those who received conservative treatment. The deaths resulted from infection or comorbid conditions. The significantly high relative risks of mortality from conservative treatment compared with surgical treatment were mutilating disease and susceptible factors on both of the HLA-DRB1 alleles. Relief from pain and neurological and functional recovery were better, and the radiological degree of atlantoaxial translocation was less in those who were surgically treated compared with those who were not. Two patients had superficial local infections after surgery. We conclude that prophylactic atlantoaxial fusion is better than conservative treatment in these patients.

Patients with cancer and bone metastases can have an increased risk of fracturing their femur. Treatment is based on the impending fracture risk: patients with a high fracture risk are considered for prophylactic surgery, whereas low fracture risk patients are treated conservatively with radiotherapy to decrease pain. Current clinical guidelines suggest to determine fracture risk based on axial cortical involvement of the lesion on conventional radiographs, but that appears to be difficult. Therefore, we developed a patient-specific finite element (FE) computer model that has shown to be able to predict fracture risk in an experimental setting and in patients. The goal of this study was to determine whether patient-specific finite element (FE) computer models are better at predicting fracture risk for femoral bone metastases compared to clinical assessments based on axial cortical involvement on conventional radiographs, as described in current clinical guidelines. 45 patients (50 affected femurs) affected with predominantly lytic bone metastases who were treated with palliative radiotherapy for pain were included. CT scans were made and patients were followed for six months to determine whether or not they fractured their femur. Non-linear isotropic FE models were created with the patient-specific geometry and bone density obtained from the CT scans. Subsequently, an axial load was simulated on the models mimicking stance. Failure loads normalized for bodyweight (BW) were calculated for each femur. High and low fracture risks were determined using a failure load of 7.5 × BW as a threshold. Experienced assessors measured axial cortical involvement on conventional radiographs. Following clinical guidelines, patients with lesions larger than 30 mm were identified as having a high fracture risk. FE predictions were compared to clinical assessments by means of diagnostic accuracy values (sensitivity, specificity and positive (PPV) and negative predictive values (NPV)). Seven femurs (14%) fractured during follow-up. Median time to fracture was 8 weeks. FE models were better at predicting fracture risk in comparison to clinical assessments based on axial cortical involvement (sensitivity 100% vs. 86%, specificity 74% vs. 42%, PPV 39% vs. 19%, and NPV 100% vs. 95%, for the FE computer model vs. axial cortical involvement, respectively). We concluded that patient-specific FE computer models improve fracture risk predictions of femoral bone metastases in advanced cancer patients compared to clinical assessments based on axial cortical involvement, which is currently used in clinical guidelines. Therefore, we are initiating a pilot for clinical implementation of the FE model

Introduction and Objectives: Half of primary tumors tend to disseminate to bones, and metastasis to bone is the third most common localisation for disseminated disease, after the lungs and liver. It is also the most common form of neoplasia in the skeleton. Treatment of bone metastasis is essentially palliative, and in select cases improves patient survival. We present results from the last 15 years in our centre. Materials and Methods: Between the years 1988–2003, our surgical oncology unit has treated 451 patients with bone metastasis. Of these, 49% were male, and 51% were female. Average age was 64 years (19–98). The most common causes were metastatic breast cancer (34%), unknown tumours (17%), multiple myeloma (9%), prostate cancer (9%), lung cancer (7%), bladder cancer (6%), and others (18%). Tumours localised to the following locations: femur (31%), spine (27%), multiple locations (13%), pelvis (11.5%), humerus (9%), and other locations (8.5%). In 69% of cases the first symptom was pain, in 28% pathologic fracture, and in the remaining 3% medullary compression. Of the 125 pathologic fractures, 71% were on the femur, 18% on the humerus, and the remaining 11% in other locations. Results: In 60% of cases (271 patients) conservative treatment was used, and in the remaining 40% (180 patients) surgical treatment was used. Of the 180 surgeries, 50.5% were for pathologic fractures, and 49.5% were prophylactic surgeries. Of the 125 pathologic fractures, 91 (73%) received surgical treatment, and the other 34 (27%) were treated conservatively. Intramedullary nailing was the most commonly used form of osteosynthesis (47%). Total resolution of pain was achieved in 86.5% of cases, and partial resolution in 13.5%. Mean time in bed from prophylactic surgery was 3 days. Mean time for recovery of function was 7 days for the arms and 11 days for the legs. Discussion and Conclusions: The fundamental goal is to offer short-term individualized treatment to control pain and avoid bedrest and hospitalization of these patients. Prophylactic surgery does not increase life expectancy of these patients. However, it does alleviate pain, avoids bedrest, and improves functionality. It should be kept in mind that the least aggressive surgical technique possible should be used

Advances in cancer therapy have prolonged patient survival even in the presence of disseminated disease and an increasing number of cancer patients are living with metastatic bone disease (MBD). The proximal femur is the most common long bone involved in MBD and pathologic fractures of the femur are associated with significant morbidity, mortality and loss of quality of life (QoL). Successful prophylactic surgery for an impending fracture of the proximal femur has been shown in multiple cohort studies to result in longer survival, preserved mobility, lower transfusion rates and shorter post-operative hospital stays. However, there is currently no optimal method to predict a pathologic fracture. The most well-known tool is Mirel's criteria, established in 1989 and is limited from guiding clinical practice due to poor specificity and sensitivity. The ideal clinical decision support tool will be of the highest sensitivity and specificity, non-invasive, generalizable to all patients, and not a burden on hospital resources or the patient's time. Our research uses novel machine learning techniques to develop a model to fill this considerable gap in the treatment pathway of MBD of the femur. The goal of our study is to train a convolutional neural network (CNN) to predict fracture risk when metastatic bone disease is present in the proximal femur. Our fracture risk prediction tool was developed by analysis of prospectively collected data of consecutive MBD patients presenting from 2009–2016. Patients with primary bone tumors, pathologic fractures at initial presentation, and hematologic malignancies were excluded. A total of 546 patients comprising 114 pathologic fractures were included. Every patient had at least one Anterior-Posterior X-ray and clinical data including patient demographics, Mirel's criteria, tumor biology, all previous radiation and chemotherapy received, multiple pain and function scores, medications and time to fracture or time to death. We have trained a convolutional neural network (CNN) with AP X-ray images of 546 patients with metastatic bone disease of the proximal femur. The digital X-ray data is converted into a matrix representing the color information at each pixel. Our CNN contains five convolutional layers, a fully connected layers of 512 units and a final output layer. As the information passes through successive levels of the network, higher level features are abstracted from the data. The model converges on two fully connected deep neural network layers that output the risk of fracture. This prediction is compared to the true outcome, and any errors are back-propagated through the network to accordingly adjust the weights between connections, until overall prediction accuracy is optimized. Methods to improve learning included using stochastic gradient descent with a learning rate of 0.01 and a momentum rate of 0.9. We used average classification accuracy and the average F1 score across five test sets to measure model performance. We compute F1 = 2 x (precision x recall)/(precision + recall). F1 is a measure of a model's accuracy in binary classification, in our case, whether a lesion would result in pathologic fracture or not. Our model achieved 88.2% accuracy in predicting fracture risk across five-fold cross validation testing. The F1 statistic is 0.87. This is the first reported application of convolutional neural networks, a machine learning algorithm, to this important Orthopaedic problem. Our neural network model was able to achieve reasonable accuracy in classifying fracture risk of metastatic proximal femur lesions from analysis of X-rays and clinical information. Our future work will aim to externally validate this algorithm on an international cohort

The December 2013 Hip & Pelvis Roundup. 360 . looks at: Enhanced recovery works; Acetabular placement; Exercise better than rest in osteoarthritis patients; if Birmingham hip resurfacing is immune from pseudotumour; HIV and arthroplasty; Labral tears revisited; Prophylactic surgery for FAI; and Ceramics and impaction grafting

Advances in cancer therapy have prolonged cancer patient survival even in the presence of disseminated disease and an increasing number of cancer patients are living with metastatic bone disease (MBD). The proximal femur is the most common long bone involved in MBD and pathologic fractures of the femur are associated with significant morbidity, mortality and loss of quality of life (QoL). Successful prophylactic surgery for an impending fracture of the proximal femur has been shown in multiple cohort studies to result in patients more likely to walk after surgery, longer survival, lower transfusion rates and shorter post-operative hospital stays. However, there is currently no optimal method to predict a pathologic fracture. The most well-known tool is Mirel's criteria, established in 1989 and is limited from guiding clinical practice due to poor specificity and sensitivity. The goal of our study is to train a convolutional neural network (CNN) to predict fracture risk when metastatic bone disease is present in the proximal femur. Our fracture risk prediction tool was developed by analysis of prospectively collected data for MBD patients (2009–2016) in order to determine which features are most commonly associated with fracture. Patients with primary bone tumors, pathologic fractures at initial presentation, and hematologic malignancies were excluded. A total of 1146 patients comprising 224 pathologic fractures were included. Every patient had at least one Anterior-Posterior X-ray. The clinical data includes patient demographics, tumor biology, all previous radiation and chemotherapy received, multiple pain and function scores, medications and time to fracture or time to death. Each of Mirel's criteria has been further subdivided and recorded for each lesion. We have trained a convolutional neural network (CNN) with X-ray images of 1146 patients with metastatic bone disease of the proximal femur. The digital X-ray data is converted into a matrix representing the color information at each pixel. Our CNN contains five convolutional layers, a fully connected layers of 512 units and a final output layer. As the information passes through successive levels of the network, higher level features are abstracted from the data. This model converges on two fully connected deep neural network layers that output the fracture risk. This prediction is compared to the true outcome, and any errors are back-propagated through the network to accordingly adjust the weights between connections. Methods to improve learning included using stochastic gradient descent with a learning rate of 0.01 and a momentum rate of 0.9. We used average classification accuracy and the average F1 score across test sets to measure model performance. We compute F1 = 2 x (precision x recall)/(precision + recall). F1 is a measure of a test's accuracy in binary classification, in our case, whether a lesion would result in pathologic fracture or not. Five-fold cross validation testing of our fully trained model revealed accurate classification for 88.2% of patients with metastatic bone disease of the proximal femur. The F1 statistic is 0.87. This represents a 24% error reduction from using Mirel's criteria alone to classify the risk of fracture in this cohort. This is the first reported application of convolutional neural networks, a machine learning algorithm, to an important Orthopaedic problem. Our neural network model was able to achieve impressive accuracy in classifying fracture risk of metastatic proximal femur lesions from analysis of X-rays and clinical information. Our future work will aim to validate this algorithm on an external cohort

Aims

The modern prevalence of primary tumours causing metastatic bone disease is ill-defined in the oncological literature. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to identify the prevalence of primary tumours in the setting of metastatic bone disease, as well as reported rates of pathological fracture, postoperative complications, 90-day mortality, and 360-day mortality for each primary tumour subtype.

Aims

The aim of this study was to inform the epidemiology and treatment of slipped capital femoral epiphysis (SCFE).

We have studied the natural history of spontaneous dislocation of the hip in cerebral palsy, with particular reference to the pattern of neurological involvement. In patients with bilateral hemiplegia and severe involvement of the upper limbs the incidence of dislocation was very high (59%), while in those with diplegia and little involvement of the upper limbs, only 6.5% were affected. There was no evidence of dysplasia or instability of the hip in any of the patients with unilateral hemiplegia. A strong correlation was found between the stability of the hip and the patients' ability to walk. These findings have a bearing on clinical surveillance and also on the indications for prophylactic surgery

Modern pharmaceutical treatment of RA seems to result in less need of prophylactic surgery but the burden of secondary osteoarthrosis of the the large joints in the lower extremity will be present for a foreseeable future. The results of hip an knee arthroplasty are well known from the Swedish Arthroplasty Registers. Severe deformities of the hip and knee are nowadays very seldom seen, but the same does not hold true for the ankle and foot. As more RA patients are offered hip and knee replacement they will start loading their feet to an extent which the feet are not always able to withstand. Effetcive pain-killing pharmaceuticals also means a possibility to put weight even on an arthritic deformed foot. Thus, severe foot and ankle deformities are still rather frequently seen. Improved surgical methods for correction have evolved and in most cases reconstructive ankle and foot surgery will restore the weightbearing capacity of the RA foot

Aims. Bone is a common site of metastatic disease. Skeletal complications include disabling pain and pathological fractures. Palliative surgery for incurable metastatic bone lesions aims to preserve quality of life and function by providing pain relief and stable mobility with fixation or replacement. Current literature has few treatment studies. We present a 5 year longitudinal cohort study of surgery for metastatic bone disease at our large teaching hospital reviewing our complication and mortality rates. Methods. Patients that underwent palliative surgery for metastatic bone lesions were identified from operative records. Demographics, clinical details and outcomes were recorded. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to calculate survivorship. Results. 43 patients were treated for 44 bone metastases (34 IM Nails, 9 prosthetic replacements, 1 plate). The median age at primary diagnosis was 66 (33–92). Lung cancer was the most common primary. 56% presented with complete fractures and 44% with impending fractures (median Mirel score of 10). Pertrochanteric bone lesions were the most common (74%). Two out of 43 patients died within one day of surgery. 30 day mortality was 12% and 45% at 1 year. In those surviving the 30 day perioperative period, we report a complication rate of 14%. One patient had a dislocated prosthesis. Two patients had delayed or non union and two patients had failure of metalwork. No patient required re operation. Conclusion. Our series observed a 5% fixation failure rate and significant perioperative mortality. Whilst surgery may offer benefit in the non moribund patient with pathological fracture the decision to offer prophylactic surgery is more difficult in light of the high perioperative mortality seen in our study. Indeed, the patients in our study who died within 24 hours of surgery had prophylactic fixations. We conclude that surgical intervention must be carefully considered with realistic expectations of outcomes

Previous studies have shown improved outcome following surgery for spinal cord compression due to metastatic disease. Further papers have shown that many patients with metastatic disease are not referred for orthopaedic opinion. The aims of this paper are to study the survival and morbidity of patients with spinal metastatic disease who receive radiotherapy. Do patients develop instability and progressive neurological compromise? Can we predict which patients will benefit from surgery?. Retrospective review of patients receiving radiotherapy for pain relief or cord compression as a result of metastatic disease. Patients were scored with regards to Tomita and Tokuhashi, survival and for deterioration in neurology or spinal instability. 94 patients reviewed. All patients were followed up for a minimum of 1 year or until deceased. Majority of patients had a primary diagnosis of lung, prostate or breast carcinoma. Mean Tomita score of 6, Tokuhashi score 7, and mean survival following radiotherapy of 8 months. 11:94 patients referred for surgical opinion. Poor correlation with Tomita scores (-0.25) & Tokuhashi scores (0.24) to predict survival. Four patients developed progressive neurology on follow-up. One patient developed spinal instability. The remainder of the patients did not deteriorate in neurology and did not develop spinal instability. All patients with normal neurology at time of radiotherapy did not develop spinal cord compression or cauda equina at a later date. This study suggests that the vast majority of patients with spinal metastatic disease do not progress to spinal instability or cord compression, and that prophylactic surgery would not be of benefit. The predictive scoring systems remain unreliable making it difficult to select those patients who would benefit. The referral rate to spinal surgeons remains low as few patients under the care of the oncologists develop spinal complications

1. Correction of hallux valgus by spike osteotomy of the neck of the first metatarsal is described, and the results in eighty-two feet are presented. 2. A high proportion of satisfactory results can be obtained, but great care is needed in both selection and technique. 3. The ideal case is one of moderate deformity, without degenerative arthritis, and with symptoms referable to increased width of the forefoot; the operation should not be performed in cases with obvious degenerative change, nor when metatarsalgia is a prominent symptom. 4. It is important to displace the metatarsal head as far laterally as possible, and vital to avoid dorsal angulation or displacement. 5. It is suggested that enough is now known about the natural evolution of hallux valgus and the results of some operations for prophylactic surgery to be undertaken in carefully selected cases

The study was designed to assess the reproducibility and reliability of Mirels scoring system and the conventional scoring system for impending pathological fractures. The results of both classification systems influence the choice of therapeutic procedures offered to these patients. Blinded plain antero-posterior radiographs from forty-seven patients with bone metastases were scored by eight independent observers (four orthopaedic surgeons and four radiologists with varying clinical experience). Each observer scored the radiographs as per the Mirels and the conventional systems. After twelve weeks, the radiographs were scored again by the same observers. Inter– and intra-observer agreement was assessed based on the weighted kappa coefficient values for both systems. For intra-observer reproducibility, kappa values for the conventional system had a mean of 0.495 (SD 0.12) showing a moderate agreement, while Mirels scoring system had a mean of 0.386 (SD 0.143) showing a fair agreement. For inter-observer reliability, kappa values for the conventional scoring system were 0.322 for the first test and 0.47 for the second test giving fair and moderate agreements respectively. For Mirels’ scoring system, kappa coefficient for inter-observer reliability was 0.183 for the first test and 0.218 for the second giving poor and fair agreements respectively. The conventional scoring system showed a better inter and intra-observer agreement compared to Mirels’ scoring system. Consultants had a better intra-observer agreement compared to their registrars. We also found that radiologists, in our study, had better intra-observer agreement compared to orthopaedic surgeons. Radiographs should be scored cautiously by experienced doctors in a multi-disciplinary setting to achieve the best decision of whether to proceed with a prophylactic surgery or not

Previous studies have shown improved outcome following surgery for spinal cord compression due to metastatic disease. Further papers have shown that many patients with metastatic disease are not referred for orthopaedic opinion. The aims of this paper are to study the survival and morbidity of patients with spinal metastatic disease who receive radiotherapy. Do patients develop instability and progressive neurological compromise?. Do patients require surgery or are the majority adequately treated by oncologists?. Review of patients receiving radiotherapy for pain relief or cord compression as a result of metastatic disease. Patients were scored with regards to Tomita and Tokuhashi, survival and for deterioration in neurology or spinal instability. 94 patients reviewed. All patients were followed up for a minimum of 1 year or until deceased. Majority of patients had a primary diagnosis of lung, prostate or breast carcinoma. Mean Tomita score of 6, Tokuhashi score 7, and mean survival following radiotherapy of 8 months. 11:94 patients referred for surgical opinion. Four patients developed progressive neurology on follow-up. One patient developed spinal instability. The remainder of the patients did not deteriorate in neurology and did not develop spinal instability. All patients with normal neurology at time of radiotherapy did not develop spinal cord compression or cauda equina at a later date. This study suggests that the vast majority of patients with spinal metastatic disease do not progress to spinal instability or cord compression, and that prophylactic surgery would not be of benefit. The referral rate to spinal surgeons remains low as few patients under the care of the oncologists develop spinal complications

To assess the referral system, clinical notes and radiographs of patients presenting with metastatic disease of long bones in a regional oncology unit. Thirty questionnaires were sent to oncologists asking about reasons for referral to orthopaedics and use of scoring system to assess risk of pathological fracture. Ninety three percent of oncologists did not use a reliable scoring system to assess risk of pathological fracture. The majority referred in respect to pain on mobilising and the presence of a lytic lesion. Sixty percent felt an improvement in communication between the departments was required. The notes and radiographs were reviewed of thirty-seven patients presenting with femoral metastatic lesions to the oncology department. Sixteen patients had a Mirels score of greater than eight. Four patients were referred for an Orthopaedic opinion. All patients underwent prophylactic fixation. Twelve patients with a score of greater than eight were not referred. Seven of theses patients suffered a pathological fracture within three months. Five patients had a Mirels score of 8. One patient had prophylactic fixation. No fractures occurred. Sixteen patients had a Mirels score of less than 8. None of these patients were referred for an orthopaedic opinion. None of these patients had a pathological fracture within three months. In conclusion, we presently do not offer a multidisciplinary approach to metastatic disease affecting the appendicular skeleton. The majority of patients’ who score eight or above in the Mirels scoring system are at risk of fracture and do require prophylactic surgery. In keeping with the BOA guidelines, “Metastatic Bone Disease: A Guide to Good Practice”, we would recommend that the introduction of a multidisciplinary approach and the use of a recognised scoring system is essential to improve patient care

To assess the referral system and the clinical notes and radiographs of patients presenting with metastatic disease of long bones. All oncology consultants and registrars received a questionnaire regarding referral to the orthopaedic department for metastatic disease of the appendicular skeleton. Ninety three percent of oncologists did not use a reliable scoring system to assess risk of pathological fracture. The majority of oncologists referred with regards to degree of cortical erosion and increased pain on weight-bearing. Sixty percent felt an improvement in communication between the departments was required. The notes and radiographs were reviewed of twentyfive patients presenting with femoral metastatic lesions to the oncology department. Mirels scoring system was then applied to each patient to assess the risk of the possibility of a pathological fracture. Ten patients had a Mirels score of greater than eight. Three patients were referred for an Orthopaedic opinion regarding prophylactic fixation. Two patients had no fracture of the femur after three months. Five patients had a pathological fracture within three months, resulting in an emergency admission for surgery. Three patients had a Mirels score of 8. One patient suffered a pathological fracture. Twelve patients had a Mirels score of less than 8. None of these patients were referred for an Orthopaedic opinion. None of these patients had a pathological fracture within three months. In conclusion, we presently do not offer a multidisciplinary approach to metastatic disease affecting the appendicular skeleton. The majority of patients’ who score eight or above in the Mirels scoring system are at risk of fracture and do require prophylactic surgery. In keeping with the BOA guidelines, “Metastatic Bone Disease: A Guide to Good Practice”, we would recommend the introduction of a multidisciplinary approach and the use of a recognised scoring system to improve patient care

Introduction and Aims: Practice standards vary considerably for prophylactic pinning the contralateral hip opposite a scfe. This work provides a data-driven framework with which to analyse the risks, benefits, and costs of two modes of treatment: prophylactic pinning the normal side contralateral to a scfe versus observation; and pinning of subsequent slips. Method: A decision analysis model was constructed using the English language literature to estimate SCFE incidence and severity. The model framework assumes that if a hip is pinned prophylactically it will not slip. The benefits of prophylactic pinning are therefore determined by identifying the percentage of contralateral hips that will subsequently slip and then develop early osteoarthritis requiring total hip arthroplasty at a young age. In our cost analysis model, the cost of diagnosis, treatment, and follow-up was developed for the two treatment modes using actual hospital costs and standardised medicare reimbursement schedules for professional fees. Results: If a hip is not pinned prophylactically, there is a 7% risk of requiring a total hip arthroplasty in the contralateral hip at an early age due to osteoarthritis. This 7% is a combination of patients whose contralateral femoral epiphysis slipped moderately or severely and was pinned in a non-anatomic position (1.5% of the initial population) and patients whose substantial slip was not detected (5.5%). The risk of prophylactic pinning appears to be associated with a 0.3% chance of developing avascular necrosis. Other risks would include chances of infection or chondrolysis, although these have not been reported to date. If every patient is managed by the prophylactic pinning protocol, the total cost per patient, not including lost time at work or school, for pinning a slipped capital femoral epiphysis, prophylactically pinning the contra lateral side, and post-operative follow-up is $6266. Conversely, the total cost per patient for the second mode, pinning a slipped capital femoral epiphysis, post-operative follow-up and pinning of subsequent contralateral slips that are detected is $6864. Costs of later hip arthroplasty were not included. This analysis suggests that costs to a national health care system for treatment of SCFE would not increase by prophylactic contralateral pinning. Conclusions: Prophylactic pinning of the contralateral side is merited on the basis of both risk/benefit and cost-effectiveness analyses. Ultimately, the decision must incorporate the physician’s assessment of patient risk factors including: age, weight, co-morbidities, sports activities, the likelihood and feasibility of regular follow-up, and the patient’s and parents’ acceptance of prophylactic surgery