Objectives. Different criteria for assessing the reduction quality of trochanteric fractures have been reported. The Baumgaertner reduction quality criteria (BRQC) are relatively common and the Chang reduction quality criteria (CRQC) are relatively new. The objectives of the current study were to compare the reliability of the BRQC and CRQC in predicting mechanical complications and to investigate the clinical implications of the CRQC. Methods. A total of 168 patients were assessed in a retrospective observational study. Clinical information including age, sex, fracture side, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification, tip-apex distance (TAD), fracture classification, reduction quality, blade position, BRQC, CRQC, bone quality, and the occurrence of mechanical complications were used in the statistical analysis. Results. A total of 127 patients were included in the full analysis, and mechanical complications were observed in 26 patients. The TAD, blade position, BRQC and CRQC were significantly associated with mechanical complications in the univariate analysis. Only the TAD (p = 0.025) and the CRQC (p < 0.001) showed significant results in the multivariate analysis. In the comparison of the receiver operating characteristic curves, the CRQC also performed better than the BRQC. Conclusion. The CRQC are reliable in predicting mechanical complications and are more reliable than the BRQC. Future studies could use the CRQC to assess fracture reduction quality. Intraoperatively, the surgeon should refer to the CRQC to achieve good reduction in trochanteric fractures. Cite this article: Bone Joint Res 2019;8:502–508

This study compared the quality of reduction and complication rate when using a standard ilioinguinal approach and the new pararectus approach when treating acetabular fractures surgically. All acetabular fractures that underwent fixation using either approach between February 2005 and September 2014 were retrospectively reviewed and the demographics of the patients, the surgical details and complications were recorded. . A total of 100 patients (69 men, 31 women; mean age 57 years, 18 to 93) who were consecutively treated were included for analysis. The quality of reduction was assessed using standardised measurement of the gaps and steps in the articular surface on pre- and post-operative CT-scans. . There were no significant differences in the demographics of the patients, the surgical details or the complications between the two approaches. A significantly better reduction of the gap, however, was achieved with the pararectus approach (axial: p = 0.025, coronal: p = 0.013, sagittal: p = 0.001). . These data suggest that the pararectus approach is at least equal to, or in the case of reduction of the articular gap, superior to the ilioinguinal approach. . This approach allows direct buttressing of the dome of the acetabulum and the quadrilateral plate, which is particularly favourable in geriatric fracture patterns. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2015;97-B:1271-8

Aims. This study aims to determine the rate of and risk factors for total knee arthroplasty (TKA) after operative management of tibial plateau fractures (TPFs) in older adults. Methods. This is a retrospective cohort study of 182 displaced TPFs in 180 patients aged ≥ 60 years, over a 12-year period with a minimum follow-up of one year. The mean age was 70.7 years (SD 7.7; 60 to 89), and 139/180 patients (77.2%) were female. Radiological assessment consisted of fracture classification; pre-existing knee osteoarthritis (OA); reduction quality; loss of reduction; and post-traumatic OA. Fracture depression was measured on CT, and the volume of defect estimated as half an oblate spheroid. Operative management, complications, reoperations, and mortality were recorded. Results. Nearly half of the fractures were Schatzker II AO B3.1 fractures (n = 85; 47%). Radiological knee OA was present at fracture in 59/182 TPFs (32.6%). Primary management was fixation in 174 (95.6%) and acute TKA in eight (4.4%). A total of 13 patients underwent late TKA (7.5%), most often within two years. By five years, 21/182 12% (95% confidence interval (CI) 6.0 to 16.7) had required TKA. Larger volume defects of greater depth on CT (median 15.9 mm vs 9.4 mm; p < 0.001) were significantly associated with TKA requirement. CT-measured joint depression of > 12.8 mm was associated with TKA requirement (area under the curve (AUC) 0.766; p = 0.001). Severe joint depression of > 15.5 mm (hazard ratio (HR) 6.15 (95% CI 2.60 to 14.55); p < 0.001) and pre-existing knee OA (HR 2.70 (95% CI 1.14 to 6.37); p = 0.024) were independently associated with TKA requirement. Where patients with severe joint depression of > 15.5 mm were managed with fixation, 11/25 ultimately required TKA. Conclusion. Overall, 12% of patients aged ≥ 60 years underwent TKA within five years of TPF. Severe joint depression and pre-existing knee arthritis were independent risk factors for both post-traumatic OA and TKA. These features should be investigated as potential indications for acute TKA in older adults with TPFs. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2024;106-B(1):28–37

Lag screw cut-out is a serious complication of dynamic hip screw fixation in trochanteric hip fractures. Lag screw position is recognised as a crucial factor influencing the occurrence of lag screw cut-out. We propose a modification of the Tip Apex Distance (TAD) and hypothesize that it could enhance the reliability of predicting lag screw cut-out in these injuries. A retrospective study of hip fracture cases was conducted from January 2018 to July 2022. A total of 109 patients were eligible for the final analysis. The modified TAD was measured in millimetres, based on the sum of the traditional TAD in the lateral view and the net value of two distances in the anteroposterior (AP) view. The first distance is from the lag screw tip to the opposite point on the femoral head along the lag screw axis, while the second distance is from that point to the femoral head apex. The first distance is a positive value, whereas the second distance is positive if the lag screw is superior and negative if it is inferior. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to assess the reliability of various parameters for evaluating the lag screw position within the femoral head. Factors such as reduction quality, fracture pattern according to the AO/OTA classification, TAD, Calcar-Referenced TAD, Axis Blade Angle, Parker’s ratio in the AP view, Cleveland Zone 1, and modified TAD were statistically associated with lag screw cut-out. Among the tested parameters, the novel parameter exhibited 90.1% sensitivity and 90.9% specificity for predicting lag screw cut-out at a cut-off value of 25 mm, with a p-value < 0.001. The modified TAD demonstrated the highest reliability in predicting lag screw cut-out. A value of 25 mm may potentially reduce the risk of lag screw cut-out in trochanteric hip fractures

Introduction. Unstable ankle fractures are routinely managed operatively. Due to soft-tissue and implant related complications, there has been recent literature reporting on the non-operative management of well-reduced medial malleolus fractures following fibular stabilisation, but with limited evidence supporting routine application. This trial assessed the superiority of internal fixation of well-reduced (displacement ≤2mm) medial malleolus fractures compared with non-fixation following fibular stabilisation. Methods and participants. Superiority, pragmatic, parallel, prospective randomised clinical trial conducted over a four year period. A total of 154 adult patients with a bi- or trimalleolar fractures were recruited from a single centre. Open injuries and vertical medial malleolar fractures were excluded. Following fibular stabilisation, patients were randomised intra-operatively on a 1:1 basis to fixation or non-fixation after satisfactory fluoroscopic fracture reduction was confirmed. The primary outcome was the Olerud Molander Ankle Score (OMAS) at one-year post-randomisation. Complications and radiographic outcomes were documented over the follow-up period. Results. Among 154 participants (mean age, 56.5 years; 119 women [77%]), 144 [94%] completed the trial. At one-year the median OMAS was 80 (IQR, 60–90) in the fixation group compared with 72.5 (IQR, 55–90) in the non-fixation group (p=0.17). Complication rates were comparable. Significantly more patients in the non-fixation group developed a radiographic non-union (20% vs 0%; p<0.001), with the majority (n=8/13) clinically asymptomatic and one patient required surgical re-intervention for this. Fracture type and reduction quality appeared to influence fracture union and patient outcome. Conclusions. In this randomised clinical trial comparing internal fixation of well-reduced medial malleolus fractures with non-fixation, following fibular stabilisation, fixation was not superior according to the primary outcome. However, 1 in 5 patients following non-fixation developed a radiographic non-union and whilst the re-intervention rate to manage this was low, the future implications require surveillance. These results may support selective non-fixation of anatomically reduced medial malleolus fractures

Objectives. Acetabular fractures with quadrilateral plate involvement have been shown to have a high rate of complications. Anatomic suprapectineal plating systems have been developed to manage these injuries with good short-term outcomes, however long-term maintenance of anatomical reduction and functional outcomes is yet to be established. Efficacy of maintenance of reduction and functional outcomes at a minimum of 5-years follow-up is the aim of this study. Design and Methods. A retrospective cohort study examining patients aged over 16 years following fixation of acetabular fractures with quadrilateral plate involvement at a trauma centre in the United Kingdom. All patients had acetabular fracture fixation with an anatomically designed suprapectineal plate. Patients were admitted from March 2014 to January 2017. Primary outcomes included objective radiological outcomes such as reduction quality, maintenance of reduction, metalwork failure, complications (such as reoperation, neurological deficit and mortality) and subjective patient-related outcome measures (PROMs) using the Oxford Hip Score and EuroQol EQ5D Score at a minimum of 5-years post-operatively. Results. 16 patients met our eligibility criteria in this cohort. Post-operative mean Oxford Hip Score (OHS) at a minimum of 5-years was 40.5 (SD 11.9) with a median score of 45. Post-operative mean EuroQol EQ-5D scores at a minimum of 5-years were 0.83 (SD 0.25). Comparison of OHS and EQ5D at 1-year and 5-years showed no significant difference (OHS p = 0.27 / EQ5D p = 0.128). Radiographic outcomes were assessed with AP and Judet plain radiographs at a minimum of 5-years follow-up. Rate of conversion to total hip replacement was 6.25%. 56.3% showed some evidence of dome comminution with 18.8% demonstrating dome impaction. 93.7% showed evidence of quadrilateral plate involvement. 12.5% showed evidence of femoral head injury. Conclusion. Maintenance of reduction and functional and patient reported outcomes using anatomically contoured suprapectineal plates do not change significantly between 1 year and 5 years follow-up

Aim. The most frequent mechanical failure in the osteosynthesis of intertrochanteric fractures is the cut-out. Fracture pattern, reduction quality, tip-apex distance or the position of the cervico-cephalic screw are some of the factors that have been associated with higher cut-out rates. To date, it has not been established whether underlying bacterial colonization or concomitant infection may be the cause of osteosynthesis failure in proximal femur fractures (PFF). The primary objective of this study is to assess the incidence of infection in patients with cut-out after PFF osteosynthesis. Method. Retrospective cohort study on patients with cut-out after PFF osteosynthesis with endomedullary nail, from January 2007 to December 2020. Demographic data of patients (such as sex, age, ASA), fracture characteristics (pattern, laterality, causal mechanism) and initial surgery parameters were collected (time from fall to intervention, duration of surgery, intraoperative complications). Radiographic parameters were also analyzed (tip-apex distance and Chang criteria). In all cut-out cases, 5 microbiological cultures and 1 anatomopathological sample were taken and the osteosynthesis material was sent for sonication. Fracture-related infection (FRI) was diagnosed based on Metsemakers et al (2018) and McNally et al (2020) diagnostic criteria. Results. Of the 67 cut-out cases, 16 (23.9%) presented clinical, analytical or microbiological criteria of infection. Of these sixteen patients, only in 3 of them the presence of an underlying infection was suspected preoperatively. A new osteosynthesis was performed in 24 cases (35.8%) and a conversion to arthroplasty in the remaining 43 (64.2%). A comparative analysis was performed between cases with and without infection. The groups were comparable in terms of demographic data and postoperative radiological data (using Chang criteria and tip-apex distance). Patients with underlying infection had a higher rate of surgical wound complication (56.3% vs 22%, p = 0.014), higher rates of leukocytes counts (11.560 vs 7.890, p = 0.023) and time to surgery (5.88 vs 3.88 days, p = 0.072). Conclusions. One out of four osteosynthesis failure in PFF is due to underlying FRI and in almost 20% were not unsuspected before surgery. In PFF osteosynthesis failures, underlying infection should be taken into account as a possible etiological factor and thus a preoperative and intraoperative infection study should be always performed

Introduction. This study aimed to compare MIPO and IMNr in the treatment of supracondylar femur fracture following TKA in respect of fracture healing, complications and functional results. Materials and Methods. A retrospective analysis was made of 32 supracondylar femur fractures classified according to the Rorabeck classification, comprising 20 cases treated with MIPO and 12 with IMNr. The two techniques were compared in respect of ROM, KSS, SF-12 scores, intraoperative blood loss, surgery time, and radiological examination findings. Results. No significant difference was determined between the two groups in respect of age, gender and fracture type, or in the median time to union (MIPO 4.3 months, IMNr 4.2 mths) (p >0.05). In the MIPO group, 2 patients had delayed union, so revision surgery was applied. The mean postoperative ROM was comparable between IMNr and MIPO (86.2 °vs 86 °, p > 0.05). The mean Knee Society Score (KSS) and SF-12 score did not differ between the IMN and MIPO groups. (p>0.05). Reduction quality in the sagittal plane was better in the MIPO group and no difference was determined in coronal alignment. Greater shortening of the lower extremity was seen in the IMNr group than in the MIPO group. (20.3 vs 9.3mm, p<0.05). Perioperative blood loss was greater (2 units vs.1.2 units) and mean operating time was longerin the MIPO group. (126.5 min vs 102.2 min, p<0.05). Conclusion. In patients with good bone stock, supracondylar femur fracture following TKA can be treated successfully with IMN or MIPO. IMN has the advantage of less blood loss and a shorter operating time. Reduction quality may be improved with the MIPO technique. Both surgery techniques can be successfully used by orthopaedic surgeons taking a case-by-case approach

Aims. Hip displacement, common in patients with cerebral palsy (CP), causes pain and hinders adequate care. Hip reconstructive surgery (HRS) is performed to treat hip displacement; however, only a few studies have quantitatively assessed femoral head sphericity after HRS. The aim of this study was to quantitatively assess improvement in hip sphericity after HRS in patients with CP. Methods. We retrospectively analyzed hip radiographs of patients who had undergone HRS because of CP-associated hip displacement. The pre- and postoperative migration percentage (MP), femoral neck-shaft angle (NSA), and sphericity, as determined by the Mose hip ratio (MHR), age at surgery, Gross Motor Function Classification System level, surgical history including Dega pelvic osteotomy, and triradiate cartilage status were studied. Regression analyses using linear mixed model were performed to identify factors affecting hip sphericity improvement. Results. A total of 108 patients were enrolled. The mean preoperative MP was 58.3% (SD 31.7%), which improved to 9.1% (SD 15.6%) at the last follow-up. NSA and MHR improved from 156.5° (SD 11.5°) and 82.3% (SD 8.6%) to 126.0° (SD 18.5°) and 89.1% (SD 9.0%), respectively. Factors affecting the postoperative MHR were preoperative MP (p = 0.005), immediate postoperative MP (p = 0.032), and history of Dega osteotomy (p = 0.046). Conclusion. We found that hip sphericity improves with HRS. Preoperative MP, reduction quality, and acetabular coverage influence femoral head remodelling. We recommend that surgeons should consider intervention early before hip displacement progresses and that during HRS, definite reduction and coverage of the femoral head should be obtained. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(1):198–203

Aims. Proximal femur fractures treatment can involve anterograde nailing with a single or double cephalic screw. An undesirable failure for this fixation is screw cut-out. In a single-screw nail, a tip-apex distance (TAD) greater than 25 mm has been associated with an increased risk of cut-out. The aim of the study was to examine the role of TAD as a risk factor in a cephalic double-screw nail. Methods. A retrospective study was conducted on 112 patients treated for intertrochanteric femur fracture with a double proximal screw nail (Endovis BA2; EBA2) from January to September 2021. The analyzed variables were age, sex, BMI, comorbidities, fracture type, side, time of surgery, quality of reduction, pre-existing therapy with bisphosphonate for osteoporosis, screw placement in two different views, and TAD. The last follow-up was at 12 months. Logistic regression was used to study the potential factors of screw cut-out, and receiver operating characteristic curve to identify the threshold value. Results. A total of 98 of the 112 patients met the inclusion criteria. Overall, 65 patients were female (66.3%), the mean age was 83.23 years (SD 7.07), and the mean follow-up was 378 days (SD 36). Cut-out was observed in five patients (5.10%). The variables identified by univariate analysis with p < 0.05 were included in the multivariate logistic regression model were screw placement and TAD. The TAD was significant with an odds ratio (OR) 5.03 (p = 0.012) as the screw placement with an OR 4.35 (p = 0.043) in the anteroposterior view, and OR 10.61 (p = 0.037) in the lateral view. The TAD threshold value identified was 29.50 mm. Conclusion. Our study confirmed the risk factors for cut-out in the double-screw nail are comparable to those in the single screw. We found a TAD value of 29.50 mm to be associated with a risk of cut-out in double-screw nails, when good fracture reduction is granted. This value is higher than the one reported with single-screw nails. Therefore, we suggest the role of TAD should be reconsidered in well-reduced fractures treated with double-screw intramedullary nail. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2024;5(6):457–463

Aims

The localization of necrotic areas has been reported to impact the prognosis and treatment strategy for osteonecrosis of the femoral head (ONFH). Anteroposterior localization of the necrotic area after a femoral neck fracture (FNF) has not been properly investigated. We hypothesize that the change of the weight loading direction on the femoral head due to residual posterior tilt caused by malunited FNF may affect the location of ONFH. We investigate the relationship between the posterior tilt angle (PTA) and anteroposterior localization of osteonecrosis using lateral hip radiographs.

Acetabular fractures can occur due to either low or high-energy trauma, and treatment can consist of non-operative management, open reduction and internal fixation (ORIF), or total hip arthroplasty in either the acute or chronic setting. These decisions are often based on the age of the patient, the fracture pattern, and the existence of pre-fracture hip debility. In the acute setting, younger patients should undergo ORIF with anatomic reduction of the fracture, while total hip arthroplasty (THA) may be considered for elderly patients with pre-existing hip arthritis. Several factors can expedite the onset of post-traumatic arthritis in the former, including difficult fracture patterns, fractures that are intra-articular in nature, or fractures involving the femoral head. A meta-analysis of seven studies with 685 patients from all age groups reported the incidence of post-traumatic arthritis following satisfactory reduction of acetabular fractures (≤2 mm) to be 13.2%. Unsatisfactory reductions (>2 mm) increased the incidence of post-traumatic arthritis to 43.5%. Factors affecting the reduction quality include fracture type, fracture characteristics (e.g. comminution, impaction), time to surgery, and experience level of the operative team. In such settings, salvage THAs can be considered. However, complications including aseptic loosening, instability, and periprosthetic infection are more common than for other indications leading to THA. In our experience, at 20 years, we found that THAs performed after operatively treated acetabular fractures still had excellent hip function, and a 70% survivorship free of aseptic acetabular revision. A more recent study of 30 primary THAs performed with highly porous acetabular components indicated excellent results as well. As such, if early complications can be avoided, patients can expect substantial pain relief and excellent durability

Aims

Despite limited clinical scientific backing, an additional trochanteric stabilizing plate (TSP) has been advocated when treating unstable trochanteric fractures with a sliding hip screw (SHS). We aimed to explore whether the TSP would result in less post operative fracture motion, compared to SHS alone.

Purpose: To compare the accuracy of post-operative plain radiographs versus computed tomography (CT) scans for the assessment of acetabular fracture reduction. Method: A retrospective assessment of sixty-four fractures in sixty-two patients was performed independently by three orthopedic trauma surgeons. Pre-operative CT scans and three plain radiographs (one anteroposterior pelvis and two Judet views) were used to classify the fracture pattern and measure pre-operative articular step and gap. Post-operative reduction quality was assessed using three plain radiographs and an axial CT assessing for step, gap, intra-articular hardware or fragments and necessity to re-operate. Results: Fracture patterns were as follows; posterior wall (n=10), posterior column (n=1), anterior wall (n=4), anterior column (n=1), transverse (n=12), posterior column posterior wall (n=4), transverse posterior wall (n=8), T-type (n=6), anterior column posterior hemi-transverse (n=5) and associated both column (n=11). Pre-operatively, the average step and gap on plain radiographs was 8.7 mm (±SD) and 15.3 mm (±SD). Post-operatively, the average step and gap was 0.6 mm (SD) and 0.9 mm (SD) based on 46 patients. The assessment was not possible in 18 patients due to overlying hardware. Using plain radiographs, one patient was found to have an inadequate reduction (> 2mm step and/or > 3mm gap). Post-operative measurement of step and gap by CT scan were 1.2 mm (SD) and 2.3 mm (SD) respectively. Using CT scans, eight patients were found to have either an inadequate reduction, intra-articular hardware or retained fragments. Computed tomography demonstrated 2 times more step and gap compared to plain radiographs. Conclusion: Post-operative CT was found to be more sensitive than plain radiographs to assess the quality of acetabular fracture reduction. Plain radiographs detected only 1 out of 8 cases where further operative intervention may have been beneficial. Given the consequences of missing an unacceptable reduction, intra-articular hardware, or retained intra-articular fragments, it is recommended that all fractures should be assessed postoperatively with CT unless the patient is not a candidate for further surgery for reasons independent of reduction quality. The benefits of post-operative CT imaging in acetabular fractures likely outweigh the cost and radiation exposure associated with its use

The December 2024 Research Roundup³⁶⁰ looks at: Skeletal muscle composition, power, and mitochondrial energetics in older men and women with knee osteoarthritis; Machine-learning models to predict osteonecrosis in patients with femoral neck fractures undergoing internal fixation; Aetiology of patient dissatisfaction following primary total knee arthroplasty in the era of robotic-assisted technology; Efficacy and safety of commonly used thromboprophylaxis agents following hip and knee arthroplasty; The COVID-19 effect continues; Nickel allergy in knee arthroplasty: does self-reported sensitivity affect outcomes?; Tranexamic acid use and joint infection risk in total hip and knee arthroplasty.

Several preoperative planning tools in computer-assisted surgery in acetabular fractures have been proposed. Moreover, all these preoperative planning tools are based on geometrical repositioning with their own limitations. The aim of this study was to evaluate the value of our prototype virtual planning tool using a rigid biomechanical model to predict failure in fracture reduction. Between November of 2015 and June of 2016, 10 patients were operated by the main author for acetabular fracture in our institution. To validate our biomechanical model planning tool, biomechanical simulation was performed for each patient immediately after the surgery. Reduction quality was assessed on post-operative CT scans. A 3D model of the acetabular fracture was build out of the CT images using the non-commercial software Itksnap. Then a biomechanical model implemented within the non-commercial Artisynth framework was used to perform virtual reduction. Surgical approach and surgical strategy according to the operative report were simulated. The simulated reductions and the surgical reductions were compared. The same reductions were obtained during surgery and biomechanical simulation in the 10 cases. For 7 cases, reduction was achieved by anterior surgical approach and so was the simulation. For 3 cases, reduction was achieved by posterior surgical approach and so was the simulation. The biomechanical simulation found similar results using the same surgical strategy with 9 anatomical reductions (90%) and one imperfect reduction (10%). The mean duration to perform acetabular planning surgery was 24 +/− 9 min [16–38]. Our virtual planning tool using a rigid biomechanical model can predict success or failure in fracture reduction according to the surgical approach and the surgical strategy

The February 2023 Foot & Ankle Roundup³⁶⁰ looks at: Joint inflammatory response in ankle and pilon fractures; Tibiotalocalcaneal fusion with a custom cage; Topical application of tranexamic acid can reduce blood loss in calcaneal fractures; Risk factors for failure of total ankle arthroplasty; Pain catastrophizing: the same as pain forecasting?.

The June 2024 Trauma Roundup³⁶⁰ looks at: Skin antisepsis before surgical fixation of limb fractures; Comparative analysis of intramedullary nail versus plate fixation for fibula fracture in supination external rotation type IV ankle injury; Early weightbearing versus late weightbearing after intramedullary nailing for distal femoral fracture (AO/OTA 33) in elderly patients: a multicentre propensity-matched study; Long-term outcomes with spinal versus general anaesthesia for hip fracture surgery; Operative versus nonoperative management of unstable medial malleolus fractures: a randomized clinical trial; Impact of smoking status on fracture-related infection characteristics and outcomes; Reassessing empirical antimicrobial choices in fracture-related infections; Development and validation of the Nottingham Trauma Frailty Index (NTFI) for older trauma patients.

Aims

Acetabular fractures are associated with long-term morbidity. Our prospective cohort study sought to understand the recovery trajectory of this injury over five years.

The purpose of this study was to identify factors that predict implant cut-out after cephalomedullary nailing of intertrochanteric and subtrochanteric hip fractures, and to test the significance of calcar referenced tip-apex distance (CalTAD) as a predictor for cut-out. We retrospectively reviewed 170 consecutive fractures that had undergone cephalomedullary nailing. Of these, 77 met the inclusion criteria of a non-pathological fracture with a minimum of 80 days radiological follow-up (mean 408 days; 81 days to 4.9 years). The overall cut-out rate was 13% (10/77). The significant parameters in the univariate analysis were tip-apex distance (TAD) (p <  0.001), CalTAD (p = 0.001), cervical angle difference (p = 0.004), and lag screw placement in the anteroposterior (AP) view (Parker’s ratio index) (p = 0.003). Non-significant parameters were age (p = 0.325), gender (p = 1.000), fracture side (p = 0.507), fracture type (AO classification) (p = 0.381), Singh Osteoporosis Index (p = 0.575), lag screw placement in the lateral view (p = 0.123), and reduction quality (modified Baumgaertner’s method) (p = 0.575). In the multivariate analysis, CalTAD was the only significant measurement (p = 0.001). CalTAD had almost perfect inter-observer reliability (interclass correlation coefficient (ICC) 0.901). Our data provide the first reported clinical evidence that CalTAD is a predictor of cut-out. The finding of CalTAD as the only significant parameter in the multivariate analysis, along with the univariate significance of Parker’s ratio index in the AP view, suggest that inferior placement of the lag screw is preferable to reduce the rate of cut-out. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2014; 96-B:1029–34