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Bone & Joint Research
Vol. 13, Issue 9 | Pages 507 - 512
18 Sep 2024
Farrow L Meek D Leontidis G Campbell M Harrison E Anderson L

Despite the vast quantities of published artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms that target trauma and orthopaedic applications, very few progress to inform clinical practice. One key reason for this is the lack of a clear pathway from development to deployment. In order to assist with this process, we have developed the Clinical Practice Integration of Artificial Intelligence (CPI-AI) framework – a five-stage approach to the clinical practice adoption of AI in the setting of trauma and orthopaedics, based on the IDEAL principles (. https://www.ideal-collaboration.net/. ). Adherence to the framework would provide a robust evidence-based mechanism for developing trust in AI applications, where the underlying algorithms are unlikely to be fully understood by clinical teams. Cite this article: Bone Joint Res 2024;13(9):507–512


Bone & Joint Research
Vol. 13, Issue 10 | Pages 588 - 595
17 Oct 2024
Breu R Avelar C Bertalan Z Grillari J Redl H Ljuhar R Quadlbauer S Hausner T

Aims. The aim of this study was to create artificial intelligence (AI) software with the purpose of providing a second opinion to physicians to support distal radius fracture (DRF) detection, and to compare the accuracy of fracture detection of physicians with and without software support. Methods. The dataset consisted of 26,121 anonymized anterior-posterior (AP) and lateral standard view radiographs of the wrist, with and without DRF. The convolutional neural network (CNN) model was trained to detect the presence of a DRF by comparing the radiographs containing a fracture to the inconspicuous ones. A total of 11 physicians (six surgeons in training and five hand surgeons) assessed 200 pairs of randomly selected digital radiographs of the wrist (AP and lateral) for the presence of a DRF. The same images were first evaluated without, and then with, the support of the CNN model, and the diagnostic accuracy of the two methods was compared. Results. At the time of the study, the CNN model showed an area under the receiver operating curve of 0.97. AI assistance improved the physician’s sensitivity (correct fracture detection) from 80% to 87%, and the specificity (correct fracture exclusion) from 91% to 95%. The overall error rate (combined false positive and false negative) was reduced from 14% without AI to 9% with AI. Conclusion. The use of a CNN model as a second opinion can improve the diagnostic accuracy of DRF detection in the study setting. Cite this article: Bone Joint Res 2024;13(10):588–595


Bone & Joint Research
Vol. 12, Issue 7 | Pages 447 - 454
10 Jul 2023
Lisacek-Kiosoglous AB Powling AS Fontalis A Gabr A Mazomenos E Haddad FS

The use of artificial intelligence (AI) is rapidly growing across many domains, of which the medical field is no exception. AI is an umbrella term defining the practical application of algorithms to generate useful output, without the need of human cognition. Owing to the expanding volume of patient information collected, known as ‘big data’, AI is showing promise as a useful tool in healthcare research and across all aspects of patient care pathways. Practical applications in orthopaedic surgery include: diagnostics, such as fracture recognition and tumour detection; predictive models of clinical and patient-reported outcome measures, such as calculating mortality rates and length of hospital stay; and real-time rehabilitation monitoring and surgical training. However, clinicians should remain cognizant of AI’s limitations, as the development of robust reporting and validation frameworks is of paramount importance to prevent avoidable errors and biases. The aim of this review article is to provide a comprehensive understanding of AI and its subfields, as well as to delineate its existing clinical applications in trauma and orthopaedic surgery. Furthermore, this narrative review expands upon the limitations of AI and future direction. Cite this article: Bone Joint Res 2023;12(7):447–454


Bone & Joint Open
Vol. 4, Issue 9 | Pages 696 - 703
11 Sep 2023
Ormond MJ Clement ND Harder BG Farrow L Glester A

Aims. The principles of evidence-based medicine (EBM) are the foundation of modern medical practice. Surgeons are familiar with the commonly used statistical techniques to test hypotheses, summarize findings, and provide answers within a specified range of probability. Based on this knowledge, they are able to critically evaluate research before deciding whether or not to adopt the findings into practice. Recently, there has been an increased use of artificial intelligence (AI) to analyze information and derive findings in orthopaedic research. These techniques use a set of statistical tools that are increasingly complex and may be unfamiliar to the orthopaedic surgeon. It is unclear if this shift towards less familiar techniques is widely accepted in the orthopaedic community. This study aimed to provide an exploration of understanding and acceptance of AI use in research among orthopaedic surgeons. Methods. Semi-structured in-depth interviews were carried out on a sample of 12 orthopaedic surgeons. Inductive thematic analysis was used to identify key themes. Results. The four intersecting themes identified were: 1) validity in traditional research, 2) confusion around the definition of AI, 3) an inability to validate AI research, and 4) cautious optimism about AI research. Underpinning these themes is the notion of a validity heuristic that is strongly rooted in traditional research teaching and embedded in medical and surgical training. Conclusion. Research involving AI sometimes challenges the accepted traditional evidence-based framework. This can give rise to confusion among orthopaedic surgeons, who may be unable to confidently validate findings. In our study, the impact of this was mediated by cautious optimism based on an ingrained validity heuristic that orthopaedic surgeons develop through their medical training. Adding to this, the integration of AI into everyday life works to reduce suspicion and aid acceptance. Cite this article: Bone Jt Open 2023;4(9):696–703


Bone & Joint Open
Vol. 3, Issue 1 | Pages 93 - 97
10 Jan 2022
Kunze KN Orr M Krebs V Bhandari M Piuzzi NS

Artificial intelligence and machine-learning analytics have gained extensive popularity in recent years due to their clinically relevant applications. A wide range of proof-of-concept studies have demonstrated the ability of these analyses to personalize risk prediction, detect implant specifics from imaging, and monitor and assess patient movement and recovery. Though these applications are exciting and could potentially influence practice, it is imperative to understand when these analyses are indicated and where the data are derived from, prior to investing resources and confidence into the results and conclusions. In this article, we review the current benefits and potential limitations of machine-learning for the orthopaedic surgeon with a specific emphasis on data quality


Bone & Joint Research
Vol. 13, Issue 4 | Pages 184 - 192
18 Apr 2024
Morita A Iida Y Inaba Y Tezuka T Kobayashi N Choe H Ike H Kawakami E

Aims. This study was designed to develop a model for predicting bone mineral density (BMD) loss of the femur after total hip arthroplasty (THA) using artificial intelligence (AI), and to identify factors that influence the prediction. Additionally, we virtually examined the efficacy of administration of bisphosphonate for cases with severe BMD loss based on the predictive model. Methods. The study included 538 joints that underwent primary THA. The patients were divided into groups using unsupervised time series clustering for five-year BMD loss of Gruen zone 7 postoperatively, and a machine-learning model to predict the BMD loss was developed. Additionally, the predictor for BMD loss was extracted using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). The patient-specific efficacy of bisphosphonate, which is the most important categorical predictor for BMD loss, was examined by calculating the change in predictive probability when hypothetically switching between the inclusion and exclusion of bisphosphonate. Results. Time series clustering allowed us to divide the patients into two groups, and the predictive factors were identified including patient- and operation-related factors. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) for the BMD loss prediction averaged 0.734. Virtual administration of bisphosphonate showed on average 14% efficacy in preventing BMD loss of zone 7. Additionally, stem types and preoperative triglyceride (TG), creatinine (Cr), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and creatine kinase (CK) showed significant association with the estimated patient-specific efficacy of bisphosphonate. Conclusion. Periprosthetic BMD loss after THA is predictable based on patient- and operation-related factors, and optimal prescription of bisphosphonate based on the prediction may prevent BMD loss. Cite this article: Bone Joint Res 2024;13(4):184–192


Bone & Joint Research
Vol. 12, Issue 8 | Pages 494 - 496
9 Aug 2023
Clement ND Simpson AHRW

Cite this article: Bone Joint Res 2023;12(8):494–496.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 106-B, Issue SUPP_1 | Pages 102 - 102
2 Jan 2024
Ambrosio L
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In the last decades, the use of artificial intelligence (AI) has been increasingly investigated in intervertebral disc degeneration (IDD) and chronic low back pain (LBP) research. To date, several AI-based cutting-edge technologies, such as computer vision, computer-assisted diagnosis, decision support system and natural language processing have been utilized to optimize LBP prevention, diagnosis, and treatment. This talk will provide an outline on contemporary AI applications to IDD and LBP research, with a particular attention towards actual knowledge gaps and promising innovative tools


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_11 | Pages 31 - 31
7 Jun 2023
Asopa V Womersley A Wehbe J Spence C Harris P Sochart D Tucker K Field R
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Over 8000 total hip arthroplasties (THA) in the UK were revised in 2019, half for aseptic loosening. It is believed that Artificial Intelligence (AI) could identify or predict failing THA and result in early recognition of poorly performing implants and reduce patient suffering. The aim of this study is to investigate whether Artificial Intelligence based machine learning (ML) / Deep Learning (DL) techniques can train an algorithm to identify and/or predict failing uncemented THA. Consent was sought from patients followed up in a single design, uncemented THA implant surveillance study (2010–2021). Oxford hip scores and radiographs were collected at yearly intervals. Radiographs were analysed by 3 observers for presence of markers of implant loosening/failure: periprosthetic lucency, cortical hypertrophy, and pedestal formation. DL using the RGB ResNet 18 model, with images entered chronologically, was trained according to revision status and radiographic features. Data augmentation and cross validation were used to increase the available training data, reduce bias, and improve verification of results. 184 patients consented to inclusion. 6 (3.2%) patients were revised for aseptic loosening. 2097 radiographs were analysed: 21 (11.4%) patients had three radiographic features of failure. 166 patients were used for ML algorithm testing of 3 scenarios to detect those who were revised. 1) The use of revision as an end point was associated with increased variability in accuracy. The area under the curve (AUC) was 23–97%. 2) Using 2/3 radiographic features associated with failure was associated with improved results, AUC: 75–100%. 3) Using 3/3 radiographic features, had less variability, reduced AUC of 73%, but 5/6 patients who had been revised were identified (total 66 identified). The best algorithm identified the greatest number of revised hips (5/6), predicting failure 2–8 years before revision, before all radiographic features were visible and before a significant fall in the Oxford Hip score. True-Positive: 0.77, False Positive: 0.29. ML algorithms can identify failing THA before visible features on radiographs or before PROM scores deteriorate. This is an important finding that could identify failing THA early


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 103-B, Issue SUPP_3 | Pages 30 - 30
1 Mar 2021
Gerges M Eng H Chhina H Cooper A
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Bone age is a radiographical assessment used in pediatric medicine due to its relative objectivity in determining biological maturity compared to chronological age and size.1 Currently, Greulich and Pyle (GP) is one of the most common methods used to determine bone age from hand radiographs.2–4 In recent years, new methods were developed to increase the efficiency in bone age analysis like the shorthand bone age (SBA) and the automated artificial intelligence algorithms. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the accuracy and reliability of these two methods and examine if the reduction in analysis time compromises their accuracy. Two hundred thirteen males and 213 females were selected. Each participant had their bone age determined by two separate raters using the GP (M1) and SBA methods (M2). Three weeks later, the two raters repeated the analysis of the radiographs. The raters timed themselves using an online stopwatch while analyzing the radiograph on a computer screen. De-identified radiographs were securely uploaded to an automated algorithm developed by a group of radiologists in Toronto. The gold standard was determined to be the radiology report attached to each radiograph, written by experienced radiologists using GP (M1). For intra-rater variability, intraclass correlation analysis between trial 1 (T1) and trial 2 (T2) for each rater and method was performed. For inter-rater variability, intraclass correlation was performed between rater 1 (R1) and rater 2 (R2) for each method and trial. Intraclass correlation between each method and the gold standard fell within the 0.8–0.9 range, highlighting significant agreement. Most of the comparisons showed a statistically significant difference between the two new methods and the gold standard; however it may not be clinically significant as it ranges between 0.25–0.5 years. A bone age is considered clinically abnormal if it falls outside 2 standard deviations of the chronological age; standard deviations are calculated and provided in GP atlas.6–8 For a 10-year old female, 2 standard deviations constitute 21.6 months which far outweighs the difference reported here between SBA, automated algorithm and the gold standard. The median time for completion using the GP method was 21.83 seconds for rater 1 and 9.30 seconds for rater 2. In comparison, SBA required a median time of 7 seconds for rater 1 and 5 seconds for rater 2. The automated method had no time restraint as bone age was determined immediately upon radiograph upload. The correlation between the two trials in each method and rater (i.e. R1M1T1 vs R1M1T2) was excellent (κ= 0.9–1) confirming the reliability of the two new methods. Similarly, the correlation between the two raters in each method and trial (i.e. R1M1T1 vs R2M1T1) fell within the 0.9–1 range. This indicates a limited variability between raters who may use these two methods. The shorthand bone age method and an artificial intelligence automated algorithm produced values that are in agreement with the gold standard Greulich and Pyle, while reducing analysis time and maintaining a high inter-rater and intra-rater reliability


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 106-B, Issue SUPP_6 | Pages 26 - 26
2 May 2024
Al-Naib M Afzal I Radha S
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As patient data continues to grow, the importance of efficient and precise analysis cannot be overstated. The employment of Generative Artificial Intelligence (AI), specifically Chat GPT-4, in the realm of medical data interpretation has been on the rise. However, its effectiveness in comparison to manual data analysis has been insufficiently investigated. This quality improvement project aimed to evaluate the accuracy and time-efficiency of Generative AI (GPT-4) against manual data interpretation within extensive datasets pertaining to patients with orthopaedic injuries. A dataset, containing details of 6,562 orthopaedic trauma patients admitted to a district general hospital over a span of two years, was reviewed. Two researchers operated independently: one utilised GPT-4 for insights via prompts, while the other manually examined the identical dataset employing Microsoft Excel and IBM® SPSS® software. Both were blinded on each other's procedures and outcomes. Each researcher answered 20 questions based on the dataset including injury details, age groups, injury specifics, activity trends and the duration taken to assess the data. Upon comparison, both GPT-4 and the manual researcher achieved consistent results for 19 out of the 20 questions (95% accuracy). After a subsequent review and refined prompts (prompt engineering) to GPT-4, the answer to the final question aligned with the manual researcher's findings. GPT-4 required just 30 minutes, a stark contrast to the manual researcher's 9-hour analytical duration. This quality improvement project emphasises the transformative potential of Generative AI in the domain of medical data analysis. GPT-4 not only paralleled the accuracy of manual analysis but also achieved this in significantly less time. For optimal accurate results, data analysis by AI can be enhanced through human oversight. Adopting AI-driven approaches, particularly in orthopaedic data interpretation, can enhance efficiency and ultimately improve patient care. We recommend future investigations on large and more varied datasets to reaffirm these outcomes


The Bone & Joint Journal
Vol. 105-B, Issue 6 | Pages 585 - 586
17 Apr 2023
Leopold SS Haddad FS Sandell LJ Swiontkowski M


INTRODUCTION. Quality monitoring is increasingly important to support and assure sustainability of the Orthopaedic practice. Many surgeons in a non-academic setting lack the resources to accurately monitor quality of care. Widespread use of electronic medical records (EMR) provides easier access to medical information and facilitates its analysis. However, manual review of EMRs is inefficient and costly. Artificial Intelligence (AI) software has allowed for development of automated search algorithms for extracting relevant complications from EMRs. We questioned whether an AI supported algorithm could be used to provide accurate feedback on the quality of care following Total Hip Arthroplasty (THA) in a high-volume, non-academic setting. METHODS. 532 Consecutive patients underwent 613 THA between January 1. st. and December 31. st. , 2017. Patients were prospectively followed pre-op, 6 weeks, 3 months and 1 year. They were seen by the surgeon who created clinical notes and reported every adverse event. A random derivation cohort (100 patients, 115 hips) was used to determine accuracy. The algorithm was compared to manual extraction to validate performance in raw data extraction. The full cohort (532 patients, 613 hips) was used to determine its recall, precision and F-value. RESULTS. The algorithm had an accuracy value of 95.0%, compared to 94.5% for manual review (p=0.69). Recall of 96.0% was achieved with precision of 88.0% and F-measure of 0.85 for all adverse events. Recovery of 80.6% of patients was completely uneventful. Re-intervention was required in 1.3% of cases and 18.1% had a ‘transient’ event such as low back pain. The infection and dislocation rate was 0,3%. CONCLUSION. An AI supported search algorithm can analyze and interpret large quantities of EMRs at greater speed but with performance comparable to manual review. Using the program, new clinical information surfaced. 18.1% of patients can be expected to have a ‘transient’ problem following a THA procedure


Bone & Joint Research
Vol. 7, Issue 3 | Pages 223 - 225
1 Mar 2018
Jones LD Golan D Hanna SA Ramachandran M


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 103-B, Issue SUPP_13 | Pages 125 - 125
1 Nov 2021
Sánchez G Cina A Giorgi P Schiro G Gueorguiev B Alini M Varga P Galbusera F Gallazzi E
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Introduction and Objective

Up to 30% of thoracolumbar (TL) fractures are missed in the emergency room. Failure to identify these fractures can result in neurological injuries up to 51% of the casesthis article aimed to clarify the incidence and risk factors of traumatic fractures in China. The China National Fracture Study (CNFS. Obtaining sagittal and anteroposterior radiographs of the TL spine are the first diagnostic step when suspecting a traumatic injury. In most cases, CT and/or MRI are needed to confirm the diagnosis. These are time and resource consuming. Thus, reliably detecting vertebral fractures in simple radiographic projections would have a significant impact. We aim to develop and validate a deep learning tool capable of detecting TL fractures on lateral radiographs of the spine. The clinical implementation of this tool is anticipated to reduce the rate of missed vertebral fractures in emergency rooms.

Materials and Methods

We collected sagittal radiographs, CT and MRI scans of the TL spine of 362 patients exhibiting traumatic vertebral fractures. Cases were excluded when CT and/or MRI where not available. The reference standard was set by an expert group of three spine surgeons who conjointly annotated (fracture/no-fracture and AO Classification) the sagittal radiographs of 171 cases. CT and/or MRI were used confirm the presence and type of the fracture in all cases. 302 cropped vertebral images were labelled “fracture” and 328 “no fracture”. After augmentation, this dataset was then used to train, validate, and test deep learning classifiers based on the ResNet18 and VGG16 architectures. To ensure that the model's prediction was based on the correct identification of the fracture zone, an Activation Map analysis was conducted.


Introduction

Orthopedics is experiencing a significant transformation with the introduction of technologies such as robotics and apps. These, integrated into the post-operative rehabilitation process, promise to improve clinical outcomes, patient satisfaction, and the overall efficiency of the healthcare system. This study examines the impact of an app called Mymobility and intra-operative data collected via the ROSA® robotic system on the functional recovery of patients undergoing robot-assisted knee arthroplasty.

Method

The study was conducted at a single center from 2020 to 2023. Data from 436 patients were included, divided into “active” patients (active users of Mymobility) and “non-active” patients. Clinical analyses and satisfaction surveys were carried out on active patients. The intra-operative parameters recorded by ROSA® were correlated with the Patient-Reported Outcome Measures (PROMs) collected via Mymobility


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 105-B, Issue SUPP_2 | Pages 39 - 39
10 Feb 2023
Lutter C Grupp T Mittelmeier W Selig M Grover P Dreischarf M Rose G Bien T
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Polyethylene wear represents a significant risk factor for the long-term success of knee arthroplasty [1]. This work aimed to develop and in vivo validate an automated algorithm for accurate and precise AI based wear measurement in knee arthroplasty using clinical AP radiographs for scientifically meaningful multi-centre studies.

Twenty postoperative radiographs (knee joint AP in standing position) after knee arthroplasty were analysed using the novel algorithm. A convolutional neural network-based segmentation is used to localize the implant components on the X-Ray, and a 2D-3D registration of the CAD implant models precisely calculates the three-dimensional position and orientation of the implants in the joint at the time of acquisition. From this, the minimal distance between the involved implant components is determined, and its postoperative change over time enables the determination of wear in the radiographs.

The measured minimum inlay height of 335 unloaded inlays excluding the weight-induced deformation, served as ground truth for validation and was compared to the algorithmically calculated component distances from 20 radiographs.

With an average weight of 94 kg in the studied TKA patient cohort, it was determined that an average inlay height of 6.160 mm is expected in the patient. Based on the radiographs, the algorithm calculated a minimum component distance of 6.158 mm (SD = 81 µm), which deviated by 2 µm in comparison to the expected inlay height.

An automated method was presented that allows accurate and precise determination of the inlay height and subsequently the wear in knee arthroplasty based on a clinical radiograph and the CAD models. Precision and accuracy are comparable to the current gold standard RSA [2], but without relying on special radiographic setups. The developed method can therefore be used to objectively investigate novel implant materials with meaningful clinical cohorts, thus improving the quality of patient care.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 106-B, Issue SUPP_6 | Pages 59 - 59
2 May 2024
Adla SR Ameer A Silva MD Unnithan A
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Arthroplasties are widely performed to improve mobility and quality of life for symptomatic knee/hip osteoarthritis patients. With increasing rates of Total Joint Replacements in the United Kingdom, predicting length of stay is vital for hospitals to control costs, manage resources, and prevent postoperative complications. A longer Length of stay has been shown to negatively affect the quality of care, outcomes and patient satisfaction. Thus, predicting LOS enables us to make full use of medical resources.

Clinical characteristics were retrospectively collected from 1,303 patients who received TKA and THR. A total of 21 variables were included, to develop predictive models for LOS by multiple machine learning (ML) algorithms, including Random Forest Classifier (RFC), K-Nearest Neighbour (KNN), Extreme Gradient Boost (XgBoost), and Na¯ve Bayes (NB). These models were evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for predictive performance. A feature selection approach was used to identify optimal predictive factors. Based on the ROC of Training result, XgBoost algorithm was selected to be applied to the Test set.

The areas under the ROC curve (AUCs) of the 4 models ranged from 0.730 to 0.966, where higher AUC values generally indicate better predictive performance. All the ML-based models performed better than conventional statistical methods in ROC curves. The XgBoost algorithm with 21 variables was identified as the best predictive model. The feature selection indicated the top six predictors: Age, Operation Duration, Primary Procedure, BMI, creatinine and Month of Surgery.

By analysing clinical characteristics, it is feasible to develop ML-based models for the preoperative prediction of LOS for patients who received TKA and THR, and the XgBoost algorithm performed the best, in terms of accuracy of predictive performance. As this model was originally crafted at Ashford and St. Peters Hospital, we have naturally named it as THE ASHFORD OUTCOME.


Background

Dislocation is a common complication following total hip arthroplasty (THA), and accounts for a high percentage of subsequent revisions. The purpose of this study was to develop a convolutional neural network (CNN) model to identify patients at high risk for dislocation based on postoperative anteroposterior (AP) pelvis radiographs.

Methods

We retrospectively evaluated radiographs for a cohort of 13,970 primary THAs with 374 dislocations over 5 years of follow-up. Overall, 1,490 radiographs from dislocated and 91,094 from non-dislocated THAs were included in the analysis. A CNN object detection model (YOLO-V3) was trained to crop the images by centering on the femoral head. A ResNet18 classifier was trained to predict subsequent hip dislocation from the cropped imaging. The ResNet18 classifier was initialized with ImageNet weights and trained using FastAI (V1.0) running on PyTorch. The training was run for 15 epochs using ten-fold cross validation, data oversampling and augmentation.


Orthopaedic Proceedings
Vol. 90-B, Issue SUPP_I | Pages 100 - 101
1 Mar 2008
Wu H Poncet P Harder J Cheriet F Labelle H Zernicke R Ronsky J
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The pathogenesis of scoliosis progression remains poorly understood. Seventy-two subject data sets, consisting of four successive values of Cobb-angle and lateral deviations at apices for six and twelve-months intervals in the coronal plane, were used to train and test an artificial neural network (ANN) to predict spinal deformity progression. The accuracies of the trained ANN (3-4-1) for training and testing data were within 3.64° (±2.58°) and 4.40° (±1.86°) of Cobb angles, and within 3.59 (±3.96) mm and 3.98 (±3.41) mm of lateral deviations, respectively. The adapted technique for predicting the scoliosis deformity progression has promising clinical applications.

Scoliosis is a common and poorly understood three-dimensional spinal deformity. The study purpose is to predict scoliosis progression at six and twelve months intervals in the future using successive spinal indices with an artificial neural network (ANN).

The adapted ANN technique enables earlier detection of scoliosis progression with high accuracy. Improved prediction of scoliosis progression will impact bracing or surgical treatment decisions, and may decrease hazardous X-ray exposure.

Seventy-two data sets from adolescent idiopathic scoliosis subjects recruited at the Alberta Children’s Hospital were used in this study. Data sets composed of four successive values of Cobb angles and lateral deviations at apices for six and twelvemonth intervals (coronal plane) were extracted to train and test a specific ANN for predicting scoliosis progression.

Progression patterns in Cobb angles (n = 10) and lateral deviations (n = 8) were successfully identified. The accuracies of the trained ANN (3-4-1) with the training and testing data sets were 3.64° (±2.58°) and 4.40° (±1.86°) of Cobb angles, 3.59 (±3.96) mm and 3.98 (±3.41) mm of lateral deviations, respectively. These results are in close agreement with those using cubic spline extrapolation techniques (3.49° ± 1.85° and 3.31 ± 4.22 mm) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (3.92° ±3.53° and 3.37 ±3.95 mm) for the same testing data.

ANN can be a promising technique for prediction of scoliosis progression with substantial improvements in accuracy over current techniques, leading to potentially important implications for scoliosis monitoring and treatment decisions.

Funding: AHFMR, CIHR, Fraternal Order of Eagles, NSERC, GEOIDE.